Cented — Trader Profile
Data as of: Apr 22, 2026 Assessment: 🚨 LIKELY FARMER — do not copy without verification Farmer detection score: 4–5/5 (see score note in Farmer Detection section)
Performance
| Metric | Daily (Apr 22) | Monthly (30d) |
|---|---|---|
| Rank | #1 | #1 |
| PnL (SOL) | +83.66 | +3,878.00 |
| PnL (USD) | $7,404 | $343,202 |
| Wins | 45 | 2,031 |
| Losses | 50 | 116 |
| Win rate | 47.4% | 94.6% 🚨 |
The Anomaly
A 94.6% monthly win rate across 2,147 trades is statistically implausible for market-based trading:
| Trader | Monthly Win Rate | Trades | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cented | 94.6% | 2,147 | 🚨 Implausible |
| Theo | 55.9% | 3,657 | ✅ Realistic |
| Jijo | 55.3% | 713 | ✅ Realistic |
⚠️ Note on Jijo win rate: The 55.3% / 713-trade figure above is the monthly KOL estimate. The 8-day axiom_trades_apr22 sample shows 68.2% (107/157). GMGN confirms 68.37%. The monthly figure likely reflects a larger sample with more variance. Use 55–68% as the realistic range; see jijo for the full breakdown.
The daily win rate (47.4%) is realistic. The jump to 94.6% monthly is the red flag — implies wins are being systematically selected or the edge is coming from copy traders.
Farmer Detection Score
| Check | Result |
|---|---|
| Win rate 75%+ on fast holds | 🚨 94.6% monthly |
| #1–2 leaderboard + broadcasts | 🚨 #1 daily AND monthly |
| Daily rank collapsed monthly | ⚠️ Maintains #1 — no collapse (farming advantage) |
| Win rate jump daily → monthly | 🚨 47.4% → 94.6% (+100% improvement) |
| Hold time locked 5–15s only | 🚨 10s hold time publicly broadcast (self-reported) |
Score: 4–5/5 → LIKELY FARMER 🚨
⚠️ Score note: The hold time flag (check #5) is based on Cented’s self-reported ”10s holds.” If you count this as confirmed (the framework does — broadcasting hold time is itself a farmer signal), the score is 5/5. If you require on-chain verification, it’s 4/5. Either way: LIKELY FARMER. See farmer-detection case study for the 5/5 assessment.
Why Cented Could Still Be Legitimate (Low Confidence)
- Maintaining #1 monthly for 30 days is hard to sustain purely by farming — copy traders would adapt
- 94.6% could reflect exceptional token selection in a bull-market month
- 2,147 monthly trades at high volume suggests systematic approach
These do not override the 4/5 score. They are reasons to monitor, not reasons to copy.
Monitoring Plan
| Action | Verdict |
|---|---|
| Copy trades blindly | ❌ Do not |
| Monitor monthly win rate trend | ✅ If drops below 70%, reconsider |
| Verify hold times on Solscan | ✅ Check wallet on-chain |
| Watch daily/monthly rank diverge | ✅ Divergence = farming edge collapsing |
| Re-evaluate | ✅ Monthly |
Sources
kol_scan_leaderboard_apr22.txt(daily)kol_scan_monthly_apr22.txt(monthly)